Can the US and China escape the 'Thucydides Trap'? | DW News

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Xi Jinping says the United States and China can avoid the "Thucydides Trap" - the idea that rivalry between a rising power and an established one often ends in war. But is that theory a useful warning for today's US-China relationship, or an oversimplification of a far more complex reality? We ask analyst Kelly Grieco. 00:00 What is the Thucydides trap and why does it define the US-China rivalry 00:47 Graham Allison's theory: 12 of 16 historical rivalries ended in war 01:34 Why Xi Jinping has invoked the Thucydides trap for a decade 02:48 Can diplomatic dialogue survive a moment of crisis? 03:40 How today's US-China rivalry differs from historical examples 04:33 Nuclear weapons as a stabilizing factor in US-China competition 04:50 Taiwan and the South China Sea: where China's red lines are 06:06 Is Taiwan the most dangerous US-China flashpoint? 07:02 Trade, artificial intelligence, and the race for critical resources 08:06 What Xi Jinping's Washington summit actually achieved 09:05 Is

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